In the 2018 election, Ciro Gomes felt a blow when the PSB withdrew from supporting his campaign. The pedestrian saw the PT’s fingerprints on the joint, which he called “disloyal and treacherous”. Now, he is trying to react to what he considers a new speculative attack attributed to the PT.
Lula looked for an opening to get the support of sectors of the PDT in the first round of the dispute. By the accounts of some PT members, the eventual withdrawal of Ciro’s candidacy would provoke a migration of voters and give the former president the chance to win in the first round. The pedestrian didn’t like it.
Ciro took advantage of the episode to reinforce his opposition to Lula and got an exposure bonus for a candidacy that seems to be stuck in the single digits in the polls. He stated that he will continue in the race until the end and win the election in the second round.
Although the president of the PDT, Carlos Lupi, classifies Ciro’s candidacy as irreversible, the numbers do not favor the optimistic prognosis made by the candidate.
Despite having a dedicated militancy, the pedetista arouses limited enthusiasm in an early polarized election. In last week’s Ipespe poll, only 2% of respondents said they believe Ciro will be elected in October. As he appears with 8% of voting intentions, it is possible to say that a good portion of his voters do not believe in victory.
One of Ciro’s main assets is virtual. The pedestrian is the candidate with the highest rate of respondents who say they “could vote” for him: 42%. The concentration of convinced voters around Bolsonaro and Lula, however, stifles this potential.
The pedetista argues that his departure from the dispute would reinforce the polarization. It makes sense, although there are few guarantees that maintaining your candidacy will avoid this scenario. The biggest risk for Ciro is not in negotiations in the PT or PDT offices, but among voters who may migrate to Lula or Bolsonaro in the first round.
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