This weekend Formula 1 will land in Hungary, for the 11th race of the championship, the last one before the summer break. We arrive at the halfway point with the battle for the conquest of the world title which has never seemed to be so hot, especially after the Silverstone accident which saw its protagonists. Max Verstappen e Lewis Hamilton. In Budapest the Circus will find a track that has been used since the 1986 season, which has among its main characteristics that of being very tortuous and making overtaking on the track particularly complex. Here, more than anywhere else, it will be extremely important to get a good placement in qualifying.
In fact, statistics confirm that in Budapest in 45% of cases who starts from pole position then manages to take home the victory of the Grand Prix. It happened three times in the last four races held in Hungary, with Vettel’s double pole-victory in 2017, Hamilton in 2018 and again by the British in 2020. The only exception was 2019, when Max Verstappen took off from the first place on the grid, who was then mocked in the race by Hamilton himself, able to win thanks to a strategic twist of the team, who opted for an extra stop. That year the Mercedes star had started from third box on the grid, also behind the sister car of Valtteri Bottas.
Curiously, on a purely numerical level, precisely the third position in qualifying is considered more advantageous than the second. In fact, in the history of the Hungarian GP, the driver who started third won the victory eight times, while ‘only’ six times the one who sprinted alongside the poleman won. The last to do it – for a change – was Hamilton once again, this time in the 2016 season. The Stevenage native easily took advantage of a hesitant Rosberg in Turn 1 to snatch the first place from him and then keep it up to the checkered flag.